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  • 02Nov

    Time to withdraw; what was an absolute last week became mere signs and indicators today.

    Still Got a Long Way

    Still Got a Long Way

    Only a couple of days after US administration publicly announced that the “recession is over“, Barak Obama seems to be lowering expectations and claims there are indicators of improvement but America still “got a long way to go”. On his speech today (Monday) at the White House Obama was joined by members of his Economic Recovery Advisory Board and by Paul Volcker, one of his chief financial advisers and former chairman of the Federal Reserve. Obama said that the US has came a long way since January, when he stepped into office, when at that time US was “losing 700,000 jobs per month” and “there was fear of another Great Depression”. “We have pulled the economy back from the brink” said Obama.

    Obama referred to last week’s out of the blue announcement and said it was “good news” to hear about the US GDP growing once again. He also said that there are signs starting (and starting only) of “stabilization and, indeed, some improvement” in US and Global economy. Nevertheless, he carefully added that the administration is obligated to take on further steps to support the job market and decrease the national debt. “Actions that we took swiftly through the Recovery Act helped to stem what could have been a disastrous situation for the economy” he commented gladly and added that the actions have produced some positive improvement, all while comparing the situation today to what was at the time Bush closed up shop.

    “But the reason we’re here today is because we just are not where we need to be yet” he then changed direction. “We are still seeing production levels that are significantly below peak levels and most distressing is the fact that job growth continues to lag” he added. Obama continued by saying there is no reason why the administration should not be able to create more workplaces as needed and even create the continuous economic growth everybody is expecting. Yet, probably again with the lessons of the sudden weird-like announcement last week by the Ministry of Commerce, he backed himself up by saying that many job losses are expected within the upcoming weeks and months.

    In conclusion, President Obama put it best in his speech- “We’ve got a long way to go“. Given the severity of the job losses, more than 7 million jobs since the start of the recession in December 2007 and the unemployment rate which had risen to 9.8% last month, even with the 787 billion dollars worth financial bailout package, he is absolutely correct, and it’s going to require him to lead some innovative action to overcome this deficit and maybe finally prove his administration.

    Omer Shachnai

    The CEO Game.

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  • 01Nov

    According to the US administration, apparently the recession is now behind us.

    Is The Recession Over?

    Is The Recession Over?

    “The recession in the United States had ended and it happened earlier that what was expected” announced the US Ministry of Commerce on Thursday. The announcement said that the US GDP number was up 3.5% in the third quarter (annual) and that this rise was possible due to the billions invested by president Obama in the economic bailout package that was intended to rescue the market and the financial institutes.

    The message also claimed that the other reasons who led to the growth and the re-awakening of the market were the rise in consumption in the private sector, multiple chunky investments in real estate in general and in housing in particular. The ministry also claimed that the government’s continuing encouragement to buy and houses and cars was also an influencing factor.

    Nevertheless, the many unemployed US citizens will still have to wait. The job seekers will have to hold their grudge for a little while longer, since the change will only come within a couple of months according to the commerce office. Currently, the unemployment rate is doing just the opposite of decreasing; in fact it hit its peak: 9.8% against 7.6% in January- the month when Bush relinquished command and Obama was sworn in and took on his position.

    President Obama took charge when the American economy was in a crisis so big that many claimed it was the “worst crisis America has seen since the 30’s“. In short, if the growth will continue in 2010 and whether more workplaces will be created, it could be Obama’s biggest achievement (a one that he needs) since stepping into office and beginning his actions to improve the economy. Here is something to think about, if I had to rename the title I would call it “Goodbye RecessionBonjour depression“, the reasons why will be discussed on the next time.

    Omer Shachnai

    The CEO Game.

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  • 26Oct

    Close to addressing the banksObama goes after financial giants: Have you enjoyed the financial bailout package? Now lay off 90% of your salary.

    Obama Fighting Financial Giants

    Obama Fighting Financial Giants

    Obama draws the sword: The US president has made a promise to chop down the salaries of leaders of the financial system and now he plans to keep it. In his efforts to revive the American economy, Obama has decided to give financial institutions a financial bailout package consisting of 700- 870 billion dollars according to experts’ estimations. Now he informed the companies which received the financial aid that they will have to cut down the huge bonuses they use to give their senior workers and the same goes for their salaries.

    He made this statement prior to the soon-to-be revealment of his financial plan, which will force the bigger seven institutes, who used the most of the aid funds to give up 90% of the salaries of their 25 most senior workers. In addition, Kent Finberg, which was appointed by Obama to be the “pay czar” of the White House, has made plans that include measurements to be taken in the White House, where many senior officials and employees who enjoyed over the years high salaries will also have to give up half of the bonuses and compensations they deserve.

    As of lately, he was tangled up with many problems yet to be solved and many hard dilemmas to cope with. As a democratic, liberal president he was elected and is expected to end the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, but up to now nothing has changed. As a matter of fact, the situation have gotten worse, when everybody was talking about pulling the troops out of Afghanistan- he had to face decisions whether to send another 40,000 troops as requested by Army General Stanley McChrystal which claimed ‘More Troops Or Lose Afghan War‘. It wasn’t a win-lose situation but a situation which no matter what you choose you lose. Not to mention, the delay with finding a solution for a nuclear Iran, nor Guantanamo, nor any progress in the Middle East at all. No major progress was made with the health care legislation and the unemployment issue as well. When taking on a different front, a less frightening one, he also failed and lost the Olympic Games to Rio De Janiero. Don’t forget the worldwide criticism on his Nobel Prize win, with some critics blaming the Nobel Prize committee of being political and only that and some saying he was chosen only because he ain’t Bush. Some say, if all those occurrences were packed into a movie, the best title for it would be “Land of the lost”, imagine that.

    Moreover, with the constant rise of the European Union’s power, a possible alliance of China and Japan and the demise of the dollar, which is just isn’t being bought enough, Obama needs this small time victory, it isn’t much but he needs to win at least in this financial war back at home, the US, since he isn’t scoring anywhere else right now.

    Omer Shachnai

    The CEO Game.

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  • 25Oct

    Barak Obama attacks US banks: When you needed, you were helped; now it’s your turn to give back.

    The President of the US addressed all the banks that were helped during the ongoing financial crisis and requested them to return a favor. In his words, now it’s the time for the banks to do their part and chip in to help the financial recovery and give more credit to little businesses. He is practically saying, hey the US tax payer helped you bail out; now the time has come for you to give something back to the public.

    Time For A Change?

    Time For A Change?

    Obama made this statement at his “weekly address” which is broadcasted live via the radio and the internet. In his speech, he commented that many business owners in America are having a hard time to get credit from the banks, even though the government had done a lot to improve the financial situation of the banks after the economic collapse in September 2008, which afterwards the banks stopped handing out loans for small and medium businesses.
    “These are the very taxpayers who stood by America’s banks in a crisis, and now it’s time for our banks to stand by credit worthy small businesses and make the loans they need to open their doors, grow their operations and create new jobs” Obama said. He pointed out the White House is willing to take the steps needed to encourage the banks to give credit, but he didn’t mention what steps will be taken if at all. “It’s time for those banks to fulfill their responsibility to help ensure a wider recovery, a more secure system and more broadly shared prosperity” he added.

    Earlier last week, Barak Obama criticized the American banks and financial institutes and claimed that they were working through Congress to try and sabotage his idea of a federal agency the “Consumer Financial Protection Agency”. Obama blamed them for “using every bit of influence they have to maintain the status quo” that has helped them get richer “at the expense of American consumers”. That is in spite of the fact that recently those same consumers helped them bail out as a consequence of their wrong decisions.

    According to estimations, the financial bailout package cost taxpayers around 700 billion dollars. In his address last Saturday, Obama also said that small businesses have created two thirds of US new jobs over the last 15 years, thus making them a crucial part of the economy, that we must help to sustain- “they must be at the forefront of our recovery”, he said. In addition, last week, he asked Congress to increase the size of SBA loans (small business administration) and announced his rewarding plan: to give low interest loans to banks, who do help and agree to lend more money to small businesses.

    When playing business simulation games, you can learn from these past mistakes and learn how to foresee the consequences of your actions. During the development of The CEO Game, we have kept in mind the financial crisis and have taken a great deal of effort in creating and simulating a vast real-life like economic system which generates and is influenced all the time by unplanned events and misfortunes, that every CEO has to cope with in order to succeed.

    Omer Shachnai

    The CEO Game.

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  • 05Oct
    The first of two articles on the Connection between Rio, the Olympics and cultural and financial prosperity.

    The crowd went wild and the media sensation was noticeable as Rio was officially crowned as the host of the 2016 Olympic Games. Rio de Janeiro, one of Brazil’s major tourism attractions and a poverty and crime struck city; rode a wave of Olympic Committee Sympathy to beat Michelle Obama’s Chicago and Madrid and bring the Olympics to South America for the first time in history. Subsequent to the announcement, the streets and the famous Copa Cabana beach were rightfully painted yellow and green, carnival style and the wild sensation was captured and broadcasted live to millions worldwide. That kind of exposure, is exactly what, the local organizers are hoping that will help the region’s economy. So, will the Olympic Games be a long time financial success story or a another event in history?

    Obama - Lost With Chicago

    Obama - Lost With Chicago

    This media’s zealous interest (which you can’t get anywhere else) in the hosting cities, is one of the reasons why cities across the globe, compete so hard to host the games. The Olympics are proven money makers for the hosting cities; generally, the loads of tourists that come a knocking, and the increased economic investment are supposed to cover and then some, the billions of dollars that are needed in order to put on the Olympic gig. Private revenue mostly made from advertising in all media platforms and television broadcasting rights is also something that makes the venue’s planners to drool at night. The Los Angeles 1984’s run for the money, was a great success as American television networks and big time corporate sponsors were psyched to pay a lot of money to place their names in the track lights. The size of the city also meant that not much of building was needed to be done as the city’s resources already could accommodate the events. The games also represent an opportunity for the common people such as renting their homes, providing light entertainment, souvenirs and food.

    However, some fear that it is just not enough. Those commercially rosy days are long gone, there has been somewhat of a backlash against commercialism and advertising and many TV companies go all out against charges for rights. Also, in the last few Olympic Games, security and politics related expenditures alone have escalated to the sum that once represented the entire cost of hosting the games. Considering these issues and prior examples, the games might help Rio only to a minimal extent, over the long. Take the case of Salt Lake City (host of the Olympic Winter Games in 2002), which reports now show that the games’ economic influence on the city has been somewhat limited, or Canada, where smokers still pay taxes, on their cigarettes, to finance the games that were held there nearly three decades ago. A big concern, is that usually a large portion of the Olympic revenues, goes to maintaining the sport facilities, which were specially set up for the games and are not so commercially appealing after the Olympic closing ceremony. Moreover, as Greece found out, the staging costs cannot be fully accounted for, at the early time of discussing the Olympic Boosters. The final cost of the Olympics in Athens had risen by nearly 13 billion dollars from their first estimation of $1.3bn. Financial advisers also claim that another issue that needs to be taken into account is the fact that the IOC, or International Olympic Committee and sponsors are there, first and foremost in order to provide for themselves and promote their products and not to support the community. Many also fear that it’s only a temporary boost. Don’t forget that the games last for 17 days only and then fade into memory.

    Rio Olympics: Will the Games be a Financial Success Story?

    Rio Olympics: Will the Games be a Financial Success Story?

    Choosing Rio, the poor city infested with crime and unemployment over the other more glamorous cities serves the organizers’ publicity, but worldwide investors didn’t need the IOC’s announcement in order to focus their attention on Brazil’s economy, they have already noticed it in the midst of the economic crisis. Brazilian bear bonds gave a nice yearly profit of nearly 10%, and Brazil’s economy is considered amongst the only markets whose production hasn’t declined this year. The games will increase tourism in Rio and throughout Brazil, this will be a short term effect but it will help increase spending in the economy, but might as well provide a long term boost in repetitive tourism. This could be very meaningful since Rio’s tourism is partly undeveloped today. The increased investment in transport links will probably have effect in increasing the productive capacity and will boost Aggregate Demand and economic growth. However, the increased spending will only represent a relatively small percentage of the GDP. Another issue revolving the Olympics is national pride and prestige, which really concerns Brazilian authorities. Take a look at London which begun its marketing campaign in the locking ceremony in Beijing.

    So the required question is do the games bring benefits to make up for the constant rising prices? I’ll try to answer this question tomorrow in part 2.

    Omer Shachnai.

    The CEO Game.

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  • 24Sep
    G20 - Pittsburg Summit 2009

    G20 - Pittsburg Summit 2009

    Now it is happening, all eyes are on Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania the host of the two-day long, tens of millions of dollars staging costs ,G-20 Summit; With President Obama chairing the event and welcoming the guests, nothing less is expected than a mega media fiasco. Leaders and important personal will come a-knocking from countries all around the world that constitute together eighty five percent of the world’s economy. At the summit, all aspects of the progress made since the Washington and London Summits will be reviewed and the leaders will discuss more actions regarding sustaining the ongoing recovery from the global economic and financial crisis. This article looks at what should we expect.

    The central debate is going to revolve around reforming the way the world economy is governed and the obvious follow-up question: who should run the global economy. Furthermore, another main issue to be discussed by the G-20 members is placing limits on bankers’ bonuses worldwide. But what is the G-20 actually? The G-20, The Group of Twenty, to give it its full title, was formally set up in 1999 as a result of the Asian financial crisis, in order to bring together major finance ministers and bankers from industrialized and developing economies to discuss the hot issues in the world economy. Among the desirable members you can find: Australia, China, France, Germany, India, Saudi Arabia ,Russia, the United Kingdom, the USA as well as the European Union itself and more, and they are usually joined by representatives from widely renowned institutions such as the World Bank, World Trade Organization and the International Monetary Fund.

    Last year, the frightening ongoing recession pushed G-20 officials to hold the first summit that had primary heads of state as guests in the Washington summit, when the leaders agreed on an action plan that included issues such as promoting integrity in the markets, strengthening worldwide cooperation, reforming international economic institutions and more. The theme in the April 2009 summit in London was similar: dealing with the crisis. In London the leaders continued to work on the previously made resolutions and agreed upon six pledges centering on restoring confidence, repairing the financial system, restoring financial regulation, preventing future crises by building up international institutions, promoting global trade and building a stable, green recovery. Altogether, the counterparts pledged they would spend an astronomical five trillion dollars on efforts to salvage their economies and another trillion dollars to help out struggling nations. In London the leaders also requested another convention to be held before the end of the year; Obama enthusiastically agreed to entertain and chose Pittsburgh for the setting.

    Thus, why Pittsburgh? Officials like to say the city of bridges was chosen because of the remarkable transformation it made from a grimy old steel industry to high-tech innovation including green and clean development over the years, a positive change that Obama surely wants to showcase. “Pittsburgh stands as a bold example of how to create new jobs and industries while transitioning to a 21st century economy” he has said. Pittsburgh is a perfect spot to show off local green achievements made this year such as the revival of “East Penn Manufacturing”, the city’s medical laboratories, and transformed industrial plants that went hybrid. Yet the proximity to New York is kind of comfy since many of the attendees must attend the UN General Assembly as well and the fact that, well let’s face it, Pittsburgh is important for the second cadence also must be taken into account. A great deal of thought was also made in selecting the convention center itself, the David L. Lawrence center, the world’s first green convention center.

    Another question to be asked is did they do what they promised? At this time, the picture isn’t clear enough to say, but much of the dough promised to struggling countries has been transferred to them. However, there still remains a lot of work ahead with complex issues like who is going to be running the global economy and regulation of banks and hedge funds as mentioned before.

    More importantly, what should we expect from the Pittsburgh Summit? Since many prime economies are slowly recovering from the recession, there is no need (nor could it be fulfilled) for another round of big spending pledges, instead the summit will concentrate on the ones its members already committed to. The center stage will focus on regulation and reform, with the topic of the day being dealing with banker’s bonuses; there is a good chance to see an agreement on that.  Another hot item, is making sure that all countries are on the same page and don’t mess around with staggering companies. Will India and China be presented better in the International Monetary Fund? The IMF, The UN’s agency that facilitates international commerce and aids developing countries, will also be under discussion. Obama also claimed that we must stay clear of the asset bubbles by setting up a path for “sustainable growth while steering clear of the imbalances of the past”. Hence that’s going to be a key part of the agenda as well. Although the recovery is in progress, the fact that many people are still unemployed, should and probably will be a noticeable subject.

    In conclusion, as financial crises fear no international boundaries, these meetings offer an opportunity to discuss economic problems and maybe even agree on the appropriate actions that need to be taken in response. As the conductors of the world’s largest economies, these leaders have a responsibility to work together in order to insure this kind of crisis won’t happen again. “The Pittsburgh Summit is an important opportunity to continue the hard work that we have done in confronting the global economic crisis, and renewing prosperity for our people”, said Obama on the eve of the summit’s jumpstart. Prior to Obama’s election, critics said that after the campaign ends, Obama will be tested by major-hard-to-cope-with events and by his reactions to them. Now it’s up to him and his administration to deal with the crisis in order to prove themselves. Now is the time to see whether the Pittsburgh Summit will be remembered as an important milestone or a complete disaster in terms of financial pace making and use of the tax payer’s cash. Will it be a prestigious achievement, one that may prove that Obama’s administration is better than his predecessor’s Or will the summit be just another brick in the wall of history?

    Omer Shachnai

    The CEO Game.

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